Kuala Lumpur:Malaysia is preparing for significant weather challenges in the coming months as the country faces the dual threats of heavy rains and potential drought conditions. The Northeast Monsoon (MTL), which began on October 27 and is expected to continue until March 2027, is anticipated to bring multiple episodes of continuous heavy rain, heightening flood risks, particularly in low-lying areas and near rivers.

According to BERNAMA News Agency, the MTL is forecasted to cause between three and five episodes of heavy rain from November to January, raising concerns over flooding in various regions. Additionally, the Super El Nino phenomenon is expected to result in hotter and drier conditions, potentially leading to droughts and water shortages that could impact agriculture.

Recent weather patterns have already resulted in flash floods in the capital city due to heavy afternoon rains, disrupting traffic and daily activities. States like Perak, Kedah, and Negeri Sembilan have also reported flood incidents, underscoring the need for vigilant monitoring throughout the monsoon season.

Climatology expert Professor Emeritus Datuk Dr Azizan Abu Samah highlighted that the MTL in Peninsular Malaysia typically has two main phases, with heavy rains initially affecting the East Coast before moving south. However, the El Nino's influence may reduce rainfall intensity and duration, potentially mitigating flood risks.

Despite this, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia's climatology expert Prof Emeritus Fredolin Tangang warns that extreme weather events may still occur, necessitating continued preparedness. MetMalaysia forecasts that the Super El Nino could bring extreme heat next year, particularly from late January to March, with temperatures potentially exceeding 41 degrees Celsius.

The anticipated dry conditions could exacerbate fire risks in northern Borneo, while reduced rainfall may lead to water scarcity affecting domestic supply and agriculture. This poses a threat to food security and could drive up prices. Experts emphasize that integrating climate science into disaster management planning is crucial, allowing for better preparation and response to these weather challenges.