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Nepal’s foreign reserves improve but real economy faces headwinds – data, official

KATHMANDU, Nepal's gross foreign

exchange reserves rose 10.2% to $10.50 billion in mid-February,

boosted mainly by remittances from overseas, to a level that

will cover about nine months of imports, the central bank said

in a report released on Sunday.

Reserves rose from $9.54 billion in mid-July 2022, as

Nepalis working abroad sent money home, data showed. A large

part of the flows came from the Middle East, South Korea and

Malaysia.

Data from Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) showed remittance inflows

increased 16.4% to $5.30 billion in the mid-July 2022 to

mid-February 2023 period against a decrease of 5.3% in the same

seven-month period in 2021/22.

Nepal typically follows a mid-July to mid-July fiscal year

based on a local calendar.

The central bank has stated in the past that its goal is to

maintain external reserves that are adequate to cover more than

seven months of imports.

"We are in a comfortable position in the external sector,

but there is pressure on internal front of the economy," Prakash

Kumar Shrestha, chief of the Economic Research Department of the

central bank, told Reuters.

DOMESTIC SECTOR CONCERNS

Nepal imports most essential commodities. A lack of

manufacturing facilities due to a shortage of power and reduced

fund flows to industries have been hurting the economy.

Businesses and industry officials have protested in recent

weeks against high lending rates, which have now risen to more

than 16% compared with around 12% a year ago.

Rates have risen after Nepal's central bank upped its

benchmark lending rate to 8.5% from 7% in July to tame

inflation, which hit a six-year high of 8.56% in June.

Annual inflation eased to 7.88% in mid-February, the bank

said.

Businesses want to see interest rates in single digits.

Many small borrowers from microlending institutions have

said they are unable to repay their loans due to high interest

rates and this could trigger a series of defaults.

Analysts said there are no "quick fixes" to the economic

problems in the real sector.

Source: ASEAN Exchanges

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